Impact of socioeconomic determinants on the speed of epidemic diseases: a comparative analysis
Gilles Dufrénot
(1, 2)
,
Ewen Gallic
(1)
,
Pierre Michel
(3)
,
Norgile Midopkè Bonou
(1)
,
Ségui Gnaba
(1)
,
Iness Slaoui
(4)
Résumé
We study the impact of socioeconomic factors on two key parameters of epidemic dynamics. Specifically, we investigate a parameter capturing the rate of deceleration at the very start of an epidemic, and a parameter that reflects the pre-peak and post-peak dynamics at the turning point of an epidemic like coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We find two important results. The policies to fight COVID-19 (such as social distancing and containment) have been effective in reducing the overall number of new infections, because they influence not only the epidemic peaks, but also the speed of spread of the disease in its early stages. The second important result of our research concerns the role of healthcare infrastructure. They are just as effective as anti-COVID policies, not only in preventing an epidemic from spreading too quickly at the outset, but also in creating the desired dynamic around peaks: slow spreading, then rapid disappearance.
Domaines
Economies et financesFormat du dépôt | Fichier |
---|---|
Type de dépôt | Article dans une revue |
Titre |
en
Impact of socioeconomic determinants on the speed of epidemic diseases: a comparative analysis
|
Résumé |
en
We study the impact of socioeconomic factors on two key parameters of epidemic dynamics. Specifically, we investigate a parameter capturing the rate of deceleration at the very start of an epidemic, and a parameter that reflects the pre-peak and post-peak dynamics at the turning point of an epidemic like coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We find two important results. The policies to fight COVID-19 (such as social distancing and containment) have been effective in reducing the overall number of new infections, because they influence not only the epidemic peaks, but also the speed of spread of the disease in its early stages. The second important result of our research concerns the role of healthcare infrastructure. They are just as effective as anti-COVID policies, not only in preventing an epidemic from spreading too quickly at the outset, but also in creating the desired dynamic around peaks: slow spreading, then rapid disappearance.
|
Auteur(s) |
Gilles Dufrénot
1, 2
, Ewen Gallic
1
, Pierre Michel
3
, Norgile Midopkè Bonou
1
, Ségui Gnaba
1
, Iness Slaoui
4
1
AMSE -
Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques
( 526949 )
- 5-9 Boulevard Bourdet
CS 50498
13205 Marseille Cedex 1
- France
2
CEPII -
Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Informations Internationales
( 39083 )
- 9 rue Georges Pitard - 75740 Paris Cedex 15
- France
3
LTD -
Laboratoire de théorie du droit
( 264614 )
- 3 avenue Robert Schuman, 13628 Aix-en-Provence
- France
4
PSE -
Paris School of Economics
( 301309 )
- 48 boulevard Jourdan 75014 Paris
- France
|
Langue du document |
Anglais
|
Nom de la revue |
|
Vulgarisation |
Non
|
Comité de lecture |
Oui
|
Audience |
Internationale
|
Date de publication électronique |
2024-02-19
|
Date de publication |
2024
|
Domaine(s) |
|
Projet(s) ANR |
|
Mots-clés (JEL) |
|
DOI | 10.1093/oep/gpae003 |
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Année | Mois | Jours |
Fin d'embargo le mercredi 19 février 2025
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