Format du dépôt |
Fichier |
Type de dépôt |
Pré-publication, Document de travail |
Titre |
en
Benefit in the wake of disaster: Long-run effects of earthquakes on welfare in rural Indonesia
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Résumé |
en
We examine the long-term effects on individual economic outcomes of a set of earthquakes - numerous, large, but mostly not extreme - that occurred in rural Indonesia since 1985. Using longitudinal individual-level data from large-scale household surveys, together with precise measures of local ground tremors obtained from a US Geological Survey database, we identify the effects of earthquakes, exploiting the quasi-random spatial and temporal nature of their distribution. Affected individuals experience short-term economic losses but recover in the medium-run (after two to five years), and even exhibit income and welfare gains in the long term (six to 12 years). The stocks of productive assets, notably in farms, get reconstituted and public infrastructures are reconstructed with some improvements, seemingly partly through external aid, allowing productivity to recover. These findings tend to discount the presence of poverty traps, and exhibit the potential long-term benefits from post-disaster interventions in context where disasters primarily affect physical assets.
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Auteur(s)
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Jérémie Gignoux
1, 2
, Marta Menéndez
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
1
PSE -
Paris-Jourdan Sciences Economiques
( 139754 )
- 48 boulevard Jourdan 75014 Paris
- France
-
École normale supérieure - Paris ( 59704 )
;
-
Université Paris Sciences et Lettres ( 564132 )
;
-
Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique USC1336 ( 92114 )
;
-
École des hautes études en sciences sociales ( 99539 )
;
-
École des Ponts ParisTech ( 301545 )
;
-
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique UMR8545 ( 441569 )
2
PSE -
Paris School of Economics
( 301309 )
- 48 boulevard Jourdan 75014 Paris
- France
-
Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne ( 7550 )
;
-
École normale supérieure - Paris ( 59704 )
;
-
Université Paris Sciences et Lettres ( 564132 )
;
-
École des hautes études en sciences sociales ( 99539 )
;
-
École des Ponts ParisTech ( 301545 )
;
-
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique ( 441569 )
;
-
Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement ( 577435 )
3
DIAL -
Développement, institutions et analyses de long terme
( 12772 )
- DIAL - 4 rue d'Enghien - 75010 Paris
- France
4
LEDa -
Laboratoire d'Economie de Dauphine
( 559342 )
- Place du Maréchal de Lattre de Tassigny - 75775 PARIS Cedex 16
- France
-
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement UMR260 ( 67872 )
;
-
Université Paris Dauphine-PSL ( 300302 )
;
-
Université Paris Sciences et Lettres ( 564132 )
;
-
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique UMR8007 ( 441569 )
5
Université Paris Dauphine-PSL
( 300302 )
- Place du Maréchal de Lattre de Tassigny
75775 PARIS Cedex 16
- France
-
Université Paris Sciences et Lettres ( 564132 )
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Langue du document |
Anglais
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Date de production/écriture |
2014-11
|
Domaine(s) |
-
Sciences de l'Homme et Société/Economies et finances
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Mots-clés (JEL) |
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I - Health, Education, and Welfare/I.I3 - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty/I.I3.I30 - General
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L - Industrial Organization/L.L2 - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior/L.L2.L26 - Entrepreneurship
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O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth/O.O1 - Economic Development/O.O1.O10 - General
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Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics • Environmental and Ecological Economics/Q.Q5 - Environmental Economics/Q.Q5.Q54 - Climate • Natural Disasters and Their Management • Global Warming
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Référence interne |
-
PSE Working Papers n°2014-27
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Mots-clés |
en
Natural disasters, Earthquakes, Rural Indonesia, Long-term effects, Welfare, Aid and reconstruction
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