D. Acemoglu, P. Aghion, L. Bursztyn, and D. Hemous, The Environment and Directed Technical Change, The Environment and Directed Technical Change, pp.131-66, 2012.
DOI : 10.1257/aer.102.1.131

J. Alcamo, « The SAS approach: combining qualitative and quantitative knowledge in environmental scenarios ». Environmental futures: The practice of environmental scenario analysis, pp.123-50, 2008.

D. Anthoff, R. S. Tol, and G. W. Yohe, Risk aversion, time preference, and the social cost of carbon, Environmental Research Letters, vol.4, issue.2, p.24002, 2009.
DOI : 10.1088/1748-9326/4/2/024002

D. Anthoff, S. Richard, and . Tol, On international equity weights and national decision making on climate change, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol.60, issue.1, pp.14-20, 2010.
DOI : 10.1016/j.jeem.2010.04.002

D. Anthoff, S. Richard, and . Tol, « The income elasticity of the impact of climate change ». Is the Environment a Luxury?: An Inquiry into the Relationship Between Environment and Income, pp.34-47, 2014.

D. Anthoff, F. Estrada, and S. J. Richard, Shutting Down the Thermohaline Circulation, Shutting Down the Thermohaline Circulation, pp.602-608, 2016.
DOI : 10.1257/aer.p20161102

K. J. Arrow, A. C. Et, and . Fisher, « Environmental preservation, uncertainty, and irreversibility, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, pp.312-331, 1974.

K. J. Arrow and L. Hurwicz, « An optimality criterion for decision-making under ignorance ». Uncertainty and expectations in economics, pp.1-11, 1972.

J. Aubin, T. Bernado, and P. Saint-pierre, A Viability Approach to Global Climate Change Issues, The Coupling of Climate and Economic Dynamics, pp.113-156, 2005.
DOI : 10.1007/1-4020-3425-3_5

. Larson, « The feasibility of low CO 2 concentration targets and the role of bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), Climatic Change, vol.100, issue.1, pp.195-202, 2010.

E. Baker, V. Bosetti, L. Diaz-anadon, M. Henrion, . Et-lara-aleluia et al., Future costs of key low-carbon energy technologies: Harmonization and aggregation of energy technology expert elicitation data, Energy Policy, vol.80, pp.219-251, 2015.
DOI : 10.1016/j.enpol.2014.10.008

E. J. Balistreri, C. Bohringer, and T. F. Rutherford, « Carbon policy and the structure of global trade ». Working Paper 2015-02, 2015.

S. Bankes, Exploratory Modeling for Policy Analysis, Operations Research, vol.41, issue.3, pp.435-484, 1993.
DOI : 10.1287/opre.41.3.435

S. M. Benson, K. Bennaceur, P. Cook, J. Davison, H. De-coninck et al., Chapter 13 -Carbon Capture and Storage. In Global Energy Assessment -Toward a Sustainable Future, and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, pp.993-1068, 2012.

A. L. Bovenberg, « Green tax reforms and the double dividend: an updated reader's guide », International Tax and Public Finance, vol.6, issue.3, pp.421-464, 1999.
DOI : 10.1023/A:1008715920337

. Schellnhuber, « Climate change decision-support and the tolerable windows approach, Environmental Modeling & Assessment, vol.4, issue.4, pp.217-251, 1999.

M. Burke, S. M. Hsiang, and E. Miguel, Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production, Nature, vol.108, issue.7577, pp.235-274, 2015.
DOI : 10.1073/pnas.1008279108

Y. Cai, T. M. Lenton, and T. S. Lontzek, Risk of multiple interacting tipping points should encourage rapid CO2 emission reduction, Nature Climate Change, vol.6, issue.5, pp.520-545, 2016.
DOI : 10.1126/science.1090753

F. Campolongo, J. Cariboni, and A. Saltelli, « An effective screening design for sensitivity analysis of large models ». Environmental modelling & software, pp.22-1509, 2007.

J. Caron and M. Ohndorf, « Irreversibility and optimal timing of climate policy ». Institute for Environmental Decisions Working Paper, p.14, 2010.

G. Chichilnisky and G. M. Heal, Environmental markets. Equity and Efficiency, 2000.

L. Clarke, J. Edmonds, V. Krey, R. Richels, S. Rose et al., International climate policy architectures: Overview of the EMF 22 International Scenarios, International climate policy architectures: Overview of the EMF 22 International Scenarios, pp.64-81, 2009.
DOI : 10.1016/j.eneco.2009.10.013

R. M. Cooke, Messaging climate change uncertainty, Nature Climate Change, vol.5, issue.1, pp.8-10, 2015.
DOI : 10.1016/j.ress.2013.07.015

P. Cramton, A. Ockenfels, and S. Stoft, An International Carbon-Price Commitment Promotes Cooperation, Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy, vol.4, issue.2, 2015.
DOI : 10.5547/2160-5890.4.2.aock

A. Dahan-dalmedico, Les modèles du futur: changement climatique et scénarios économiques: enjeux scientifiques et politiques, 2007.

P. A. David, « Clio and the Economics of QWERTY ». The American Economic Review, pp.332-369, 1985.

S. J. Davis, K. Caldeira, and D. Matthews, Future CO2 Emissions and Climate Change from Existing Energy Infrastructure, Science, vol.395, issue.5595, pp.1330-1333, 2010.
DOI : 10.1038/27638

S. Dietz, « The treatment of risk and uncertainty in the US social cost of carbon for regulatory impact analysis, 2012.

L. Drouet, V. Bosetti, and E. M. Tavoni, Selection of climate policies under the uncertainties in the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC, Nature Climate Change, vol.59, issue.10, pp.937-977, 2015.
DOI : 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2004.00670.x

K. L. Ebi, S. Hallegatte, T. Kram, N. W. Arnell, T. R. Carter et al., A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions, Climatic Change, vol.1, issue.4, pp.363-72, 2014.
DOI : 10.1007/s10584-013-0903-4

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00991814

J. Edmonds, P. Luckow, K. Calvin, M. Wise, J. Dooley et al., Can radiative forcing be limited to 2.6??Wm???2 without negative emissions from bioenergy AND CO2 capture and storage?, Climatic Change, vol.4, issue.2, pp.29-43, 2013.
DOI : 10.1016/j.ijggc.2009.09.003

J. Etner, M. Jeleva, and J. Tallon, DECISION THEORY UNDER AMBIGUITY, Journal of Economic Surveys, vol.21, issue.2, pp.234-70, 2012.
DOI : 10.1002/bs.3830210104

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00643580

A. C. Fisher, Investment under uncertainty and option value in environmental economics, Resource and Energy Economics, vol.22, issue.3, pp.197-204, 2000.
DOI : 10.1016/S0928-7655(00)00025-7

M. Fleurbaey, Beyond GDP: The Quest for a Measure of Social Welfare, Journal of Economic Literature, vol.47, issue.4, pp.1029-75, 2009.
DOI : 10.1257/jel.47.4.1029

E. Fragnière, R. Kanala, F. Moresino, A. Reveiu, . Et-ion et al., Coupling techno-economic energy models with behavioral approaches, Operational Research, vol.135, issue.10, pp.1-15, 2016.
DOI : 10.1007/s12351-015-0203-z

. Jackson, « Betting on Negative Emissions », Nature Climate Change, vol.4, issue.10, pp.850-53, 2014.

O. Geden and S. Beck, Renegotiating the global climate stabilization target, Nature Climate Change, vol.23, issue.9, pp.747-795, 2014.
DOI : 10.1038/461472a

O. Geden, Policy: Climate advisers must maintain integrity, Nature, vol.521, issue.7550, p.27, 2015.
DOI : 10.1038/521027a

P. Gerland, A. E. Raftery, H. ?ev?íková, N. Li, D. Gu et al., World population stabilization unlikely this century, Science, vol.9, issue.8, pp.234-271, 2014.
DOI : 10.1371/journal.pone.0096447

I. Gilboa and D. Schmeidler, Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior, Journal of Mathematical Economics, vol.18, issue.2, pp.141-53, 1989.
DOI : 10.1016/0304-4068(89)90018-9

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00753237

C. Gollier, B. Jullien, and E. N. Treich, Scientific progress and irreversibility: an economic interpretation of the ???Precautionary Principle???, Journal of Public Economics, vol.75, issue.2, pp.229-53, 2000.
DOI : 10.1016/S0047-2727(99)00052-3

C. Gollier, N. Et, and . Treich, « Decision-making under scientific uncertainty: The economics of the precautionary principle », Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, vol.27, issue.1, pp.77-103, 2003.
DOI : 10.1023/A:1025576823096

C. Gollier, Pricing the planet's future: the economics of discounting in an uncertain world, 2013.
DOI : 10.1515/9781400845408

L. H. Goulder, Environmental taxation and the double dividend: A reader's guide, International Tax and Public Finance, vol.3, issue.4, pp.157-83, 1995.
DOI : 10.1257/jep.7.4.47

A. Grübler and N. Nakicenovic, Identifying dangers in an uncertain climate, Nature, vol.411, issue.6842, p.15, 2001.
DOI : 10.1038/35075167

R. Guesnerie, Est-il rationnel d???avoir des anticipations rationnelles?, L'Actualit?? ??conomique, vol.68, issue.4, pp.544-59, 1992.
DOI : 10.2307/1909407

F. Gusdorf, S. Hallegatte, and E. A. Lahellec, Time and space matter: How urban transitions create inequality, Global Environmental Change, vol.18, issue.4, pp.708-727, 2008.
DOI : 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.06.005

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00719283

M. Ha-duong, M. J. Grubb, and J. C. Hourcade, « Influence of socioeconomic inertia and uncertainty on optimal CO 2-emission abatement », Nature, vol.390, p.271, 1997.

M. Ha-duong, Quasi-option value and climate policy choices, Energy Economics, vol.20, issue.5-6, pp.5-6, 1998.
DOI : 10.1016/S0140-9883(98)00011-5

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00002457

J. K. Hammitt, J. Robert, M. E. Lempert, and . Schlesinger, A sequential-decision strategy for abating climate change, Nature, vol.357, issue.6376, pp.315-333, 1992.
DOI : 10.1038/357315a0

W. Hanemann and . Michael, Information and the concept of option value, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol.16, issue.1, pp.23-37, 1989.
DOI : 10.1016/0095-0696(89)90042-9

L. Hansen, T. J. Peter, and . Sargent, Robust Control and Model Uncertainty, Robust control and model uncertainty, pp.60-66, 2001.
DOI : 10.1257/aer.91.2.60

E. Hawkins and . Et-rowan-sutton, The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol.90, issue.8, p.1095, 2009.
DOI : 10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1

G. Heal and A. Millner, Reflections: Uncertainty and Decision Making in Climate Change Economics, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, vol.8, issue.1, pp.120-157, 2014.
DOI : 10.1093/reep/ret023

C. Henry, « Investment decisions under uncertainty: the " Irreversibility Effect " ». The American Economic Review, pp.1006-1018, 1974.

O. Edenhofer, R. Pichs-madruga, Y. Sokona, E. Farahani, S. Kadner et al., Climate Change Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC, 2014.

M. Jaccard, N. Et, and . Rivers, Heterogeneous capital stocks and the optimal timing for CO2 abatement, Resource and Energy Economics, vol.29, issue.1, pp.1-16, 2007.
DOI : 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2006.03.002

M. Jakob, M. Haller, and R. Marschinski, Will history repeat itself? Economic convergence and convergence in energy use patterns, Energy Economics, vol.34, issue.1, pp.95-104, 2012.
DOI : 10.1016/j.eneco.2011.07.008

C. C. Jaeger and J. Jaeger, Three views of two degrees, Three views of two degrees, pp.15-26, 2011.
DOI : 10.1038/459909a

L. Johansen, Substitution versus Fixed Production Coefficients in the Theory of Economic Growth: A Synthesis, Econometrica, vol.27, issue.2, pp.157-76, 1959.
DOI : 10.2307/1909440

N. Johnson, V. Krey, D. L. Mccollum, S. Rao, K. Riahi et al., Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol.90, pp.89-102, 2015.
DOI : 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.028

P. Klibanoff, M. Marinacci, and S. Mukerji, A Smooth Model of Decision Making under Ambiguity, Econometrica, vol.73, issue.6, pp.1849-92, 2005.
DOI : 10.1111/j.1468-0262.2005.00640.x

F. H. Knight, From Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit, 1921.
DOI : 10.1017/CBO9780511817410.005

C. D. Kolstad, Fundamental irreversibilities in stock externalities, Journal of Public Economics, vol.60, issue.2, pp.221-254, 1996.
DOI : 10.1016/0047-2727(95)01521-3

J. Koomey, Moving beyond benefit???cost analysis of climate change, Environmental Research Letters, vol.8, issue.4, p.41005, 2013.
DOI : 10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/041005

R. E. Kopp, R. Shwom, G. Wagner, and . Et-jiacan-yuan, « Tipping Elements and Climate- Economic Shocks: Pathways toward Integrated Assessment ». Earth's Future, pp.16-000362, 2016.

M. J. Kotchen, Impure public goods and the comparative statics of environmentally friendly consumption, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol.49, issue.2, pp.281-300, 2005.
DOI : 10.1016/j.jeem.2004.05.003

V. Krey, Global energy-climate scenarios and models: a review, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, vol.493, issue.4, pp.363-83, 2014.
DOI : 10.1038/nature11787

E. Kriegler, J. P. Weyant, G. J. Blanford, V. Krey, L. Clarke et al., The role of technology for achieving climate policy objectives: overview of the EMF 27 study on global technology and climate policy strategies, Climatic Change, vol.26, issue.4, pp.3-4, 2014.
DOI : 10.1016/j.eneco.2004.04.019

E. Kriegler, N. Petermann, V. Krey, V. J. Schwanitz, G. Luderer et al., Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol.90, pp.45-61, 2015.
DOI : 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.020

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01086069

E. Kriegler, I. Mouratiadou, G. Luderer, J. Edmonds, . Et-ottmar et al., Introduction to the RoSE special issue on the impact of economic growth and fossil fuel availability on climate protection, Climatic Change, vol.112, issue.2, pp.1-6, 2016.
DOI : 10.1007/s10584-011-0260-0

H. Kunreuther, G. Heal, M. Allen, O. Edenhofer, C. B. Field et al., Risk management and climate change, Risk management and climate change, pp.447-50, 2013.
DOI : 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01802.x

D. Lemoine and C. Traeger, Watch Your Step: Optimal Policy in a Tipping Climate, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, vol.6, issue.1, pp.137-66, 2014.
DOI : 10.1257/pol.6.1.137

D. Lemoine and C. P. Traeger, Economics of tipping the climate dominoes, Economics of Tipping the Climate Dominoes, pp.514-533, 2016.
DOI : 10.1016/0022-0531(92)90061-L

R. J. Lempert, A new decision sciences for complex systems, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 99, pp.7309-7322, 2002.
DOI : 10.1023/A:1005697118423

R. J. Lempert, W. Steven, . Popper, C. Steven, and . Bankes, Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis, 2003.

R. J. Lempert, D. G. Groves, S. W. Popper, and S. C. Bankes, A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios, Management Science, vol.52, issue.4, pp.514-542, 2006.
DOI : 10.1287/mnsc.1050.0472

T. S. Lontzek, Y. Cai, K. L. Judd, and T. M. Lenton, Stochastic integrated assessment of climate tipping points indicates the need for strict climate??policy, Nature Climate Change, vol.6, issue.5, pp.441-485, 2015.
DOI : 10.1007/s10584-013-0710-y

W. Lutz, W. Butz, S. Kc, W. Sanderson, and S. Scherbov, Population growth: Peak probability, Science, vol.451, issue.7179, pp.561-561, 2014.
DOI : 10.1038/nature06516

A. Manne, R. G. Sussmann, and . Richels, Buying greenhouse insurance, Energy Policy, vol.19, issue.6, 1992.
DOI : 10.1016/0301-4215(91)90034-L

A. Manne, R. Et, and . Richels, The Greenhouse Debate: Econonmic Efficiency, Burden Sharing and Hedging Strategies, The Energy Journal, vol.16, issue.4, pp.1-37, 1995.
DOI : 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol16-No4-1

A. L. Marten, « Transient Temperature Response Modeling in IAMs: The Effects of Over Simplification on the SCC ». Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, vol.5, pp.2011-2029, 2011.

C. Mcglade and P. Ekins, The geographical distribution of fossil fuels unused when limiting global warming to 2????C, Nature, vol.3, issue.7533, pp.187-90, 2015.
DOI : 10.1039/b918960b

M. J. Melitz, The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity, Econometrica, vol.71, issue.6, pp.1695-1725, 2003.
DOI : 10.1111/1468-0262.00467

P. Mensink, The Dixit-Pindyck and the Arrow-Fisher-Hanemann-Henry Option Values are not Equivalent, SSRN Electronic Journal, vol.27, issue.1, pp.83-88, 2000.
DOI : 10.2139/ssrn.405062

M. D. Morris, Factorial Sampling Plans for Preliminary Computational Experiments, Technometrics, vol.1, issue.2, pp.161-74, 1991.
DOI : 10.2307/1266468

M. G. Morgan, D. W. Et, and . Keith, Improving the way we think about projecting future energy use and emissions of carbon dioxide, Climatic Change, vol.293, issue.4, pp.189-215, 2008.
DOI : 10.1017/CBO9780511840609

R. H. Moss, J. A. Edmonds, K. A. Hibbard, M. R. Manning, S. K. Rose et al., The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment, Nature, vol.91, issue.7282, pp.747-56, 2010.
DOI : 10.1029/2007EO200002

M. New, D. Liverman, H. Schroder, and K. Anderson, Four degrees and beyond: the potential for a global temperature increase of four degrees and its implications, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, vol.3, issue.2, pp.6-19, 1934.
DOI : 10.1177/0956247808096127

W. D. Nordhaus, An Optimal Transition Path for Controlling Greenhouse Gases, Science, vol.258, issue.5086, pp.1315-1334, 1992.
DOI : 10.1126/science.258.5086.1315

W. D. Nordhaus, Who???s Afraid of a Big Bad Oil Shock?, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, vol.2007, issue.2, p.219, 2007.
DOI : 10.1353/eca.2008.0013

W. D. Nordhaus, A question of balance: Weighing the options on global warming policies, 2008.

W. D. Nordhaus, The Economics of Tail Events with an Application to Climate Change, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, vol.5, issue.2, pp.240-57, 2011.
DOI : 10.1093/reep/rer004

. Nordhaus, Integrated Economic and Climate Modelling In: Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modelling, 2013.

W. Nordhaus, Estimates of the Social Cost of Carbon: Concepts and Results from the DICE-2013R Model and Alternative Approaches, Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol.1, issue.1/2, pp.273-312, 2014.
DOI : 10.1086/676035

W. Nordhaus, Climate Clubs: Overcoming Free-riding in International Climate Policy, American Economic Review, vol.105, issue.4, pp.1339-70, 2015.
DOI : 10.1257/aer.15000001

O. Neill, B. C. , E. Kriegler, K. Riahi, K. L. Ebi et al., « A new scenario framework for climate change research: The concept of shared socioeconomic pathways », Climatic Change, vol.122, issue.3, pp.387-400, 2014.

M. Oppenheimer, B. C. Neill, and M. Webster, Negative learning, Negative learning, pp.155-72, 2008.
DOI : 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol23-No2-4

S. E. Page, Path Dependence, Path dependence, pp.87-115, 2006.
DOI : 10.1561/100.00000006

E. A. Parson, . Et-darshan, and . Karwat, Sequential climate change policy, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, vol.38, issue.5, pp.744-56, 2011.
DOI : 10.1002/wcc.97

G. P. Peters, R. M. Andrew, T. Boden, J. G. Canadell, P. Ciais et al., The challenge to keep global warming below 2 ??C, The challenge to keep global warming below 2 C », pp.4-6, 2013.
DOI : 10.1038/nclimate1576

R. S. Pindyck, Fat Tails, Thin Tails, and Climate Change Policy, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, vol.5, issue.2, pp.258-74, 2011.
DOI : 10.1093/reep/rer005

R. S. Pindyck, Climate Change Policy: What Do the Models Tell Us?, Journal of Economic Literature, vol.51, issue.3, pp.860-72, 2013.
DOI : 10.1257/jel.51.3.860

W. A. Pizer, « Choosing Price or Quantity Controls for Greenhouse Gases, 2001.

S. Pye, C. Mcglade, C. Bataille, G. Anandarajah, A. Denis-ryan et al., Exploring national decarbonization pathways and global energy trade flows: a multi-scale analysis, Climate Policy, vol.16, issue.sup1, pp.1-18, 2016.
DOI : 10.1126/science.1208365

N. Ranger, L. K. Gohar, J. A. Lowe, S. C. Raper, A. Bowen et al., Is it possible to limit global warming to no more than 1.5??C?, Climatic Change, vol.324, issue.3-4, pp.3-4, 2012.
DOI : 10.1126/science.1168475

K. Riahi, S. Rao, V. Krey, C. Cho, V. Chirkov et al., RCP 8.5???A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions, Climatic Change, vol.1, issue.3, pp.33-57, 2011.
DOI : 10.1002/wcc.50

. Robiou-du-pont, M. L. Yann, J. Jeffery, P. Gütschow, . Christoff et al., National contributions for decarbonizing the world economy in line with the G7 agreement, National Contributions for Decarbonizing the World Economy in Line with the G7 Agreement, p.54005, 2016.
DOI : 10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054005

J. Rogelj, N. Michel-den-elzen, T. Höhne, H. Fransen, H. Fekete et al., Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2?????C, Paris Agreement Climate Proposals Need a Boost to Keep Warming Well below 2 °C, pp.631-670, 2016.
DOI : 10.1038/nclimate2826

J. Rozenberg, A. Vogt-schilb, and S. Hallegatte, « Transition to clean capital, irreversible investment and stranded assets, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, p.6859, 2014.
DOI : 10.1596/1813-9450-6859

A. Saltelli, M. Ratto, T. Andres, F. Campolongo, J. Cariboni et al., Global sensitivity analysis: the primer, 2008.
DOI : 10.1002/9780470725184

B. M. Sanderson, C. O. Brian, C. Neill, and . Tebaldi, What would it take to achieve the Paris temperature targets?, Geophysical Research Letters, 2016.
DOI : 10.1038/514030a

A. Sandmo, « Global Public Economics: Public Goods and Externalities ». Économie publique/Public economics, pp.18-19, 2007.

J. Sathaye and P. R. Shukla, Methods and Models for Costing Carbon Mitigation, Annual Review of Environment and Resources, vol.38, issue.1, pp.137-68, 2013.
DOI : 10.1146/annurev-environ-083111-092115

L. J. Savage, The foundations of statistics. Courier Corporation, 1954.

A. Schafer, « Introducing behavioral change in transportation into energy/economy/environment models, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, p.6234, 2012.
DOI : 10.1596/1813-9450-6234

T. C. Schelling, « Some economics of global warming, The American Economic Review, vol.82, issue.1, pp.1-14, 1992.

J. Schers, F. Ghersi, F. Lecocq, and F. Grazi, 2015. « Green Growth and its Implications for Public Policy ? The Case of South Africa

S. H. Schneider, What is 'dangerous' climate change?, Nature, vol.29, issue.6833, pp.17-19, 2001.
DOI : 10.1023/A:1005551626280

Z. Shalizi, F. Et, and . Lecocq, « Climate Change and the Economics of Targeted Mitigation in Sectors with Long-Lived Capital Stock, Policy Research Working Paper Series, 2009.
DOI : 10.1596/1813-9450-5063

K. A. Sheeran, Who Should Abate Carbon Emissions? A Note, Environmental and Resource Economics, vol.46, issue.4, pp.89-98, 2006.
DOI : 10.7312/chic11588

J. Stiglitz, A. Sen, and J. Fitoussi, « The measurement of economic performance and social progress revisited ». The Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress Revisited. Commission on the Measurement of Economic Performance, 2009.

T. F. Stocker, The Closing Door of Climate Targets, Science, vol.369, issue.1934, pp.280-282, 2013.
DOI : 10.1098/rsta.2010.0288

B. A. Thomas, L. Et-inês, and . Azevedo, Estimating direct and indirect rebound effects for U.S. households with input???output analysis Part 1: Theoretical framework, Ecological Economics, vol.86, pp.199-210, 2013.
DOI : 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2012.12.003

C. P. Traeger, On option values in environmental and resource economics, Resource and Energy Economics, vol.37, pp.242-52, 2014.
DOI : 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2014.03.001

P. Tschakert, 1.5??C or 2??C: a conduit???s view from the science-policy interface at COP20 in Lima, Peru, Climate Change Responses, vol.106, issue.11, p.1, 2015.
DOI : 10.1073/pnas.0901303106

A. Ulph and D. Ulph, GLOBAL WARMING, IRREVERSIBILITY AND LEARNING*, Global Warming, Irreversibility and Learning, pp.636-50, 1997.
DOI : 10.1016/0928-7655(93)90019-Q

D. Ürge-vorsatz, S. Tirado-herrero, N. K. Dubash, and F. Lecocq, Measuring the Co-Benefits of Climate Change Mitigation, Annual Review of Environment and Resources, vol.39, issue.1, pp.549-82, 2014.
DOI : 10.1146/annurev-environ-031312-125456

. Van-den-bergh and C. J. Jeroen, Environment versus growth ??? A criticism of ???degrowth??? and a plea for ???a-growth???, Ecological Economics, vol.70, issue.5, pp.881-90, 2011.
DOI : 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2010.09.035

K. Van-der-heijden, Scenarios: the art of strategic conversation, 1996.

R. Van-der-ploeg and . Et-armon-rezai, « Stranded Assets, the Social Cost of Carbon, and Directed Technical Change: Macroeconomic Dynamics of Optimal Climate Policy, 2016.

. Van-der-ploeg, . Frederick, J. Et-aart, and . De-zeeuw, International aspects of pollution control, Environmental and Resource Economics, vol.2, issue.2, pp.117-156, 1992.
DOI : 10.1007/BF00338239

. Van-ruijven and J. Bas, « Mind the gap?the case for medium level emission scenarios ». Climatic Change (forthcoming), 2016.

S. A. Van-'t-klooster, B. Et-marjolein, and . Van-asselt, Practising the scenario-axes technique, Futures, vol.38, issue.1, pp.15-30, 2006.
DOI : 10.1016/j.futures.2005.04.019

. Van-vuuren, P. Detlef, E. Stehfest, G. Michel, T. Den-elzen et al., RCP2.6: exploring the possibility to keep global mean temperature increase below 2??C, RCP2. 6: exploring the possibility to keep global mean temperature increase below 2 C », pp.95-116, 2011.
DOI : 10.1016/j.eneco.2010.03.001

. Van-vuuren, P. Detlef, J. Sebastiaan-deetman, M. Van-vliet, . Van-den et al., The role of negative CO2 emissions for reaching 2????C???insights from integrated assessment modelling, Climatic Change, vol.324, issue.suppl 2, pp.15-27, 2013.
DOI : 10.1126/science.1168475

D. P. Vuuren, E. Van, B. C. Kriegler, K. L. Neill, K. Ebi et al., A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research: scenario matrix architecture, Climatic Change, vol.29, issue.3, pp.373-86, 2014.
DOI : 10.1002/joc.1839

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00991831

M. L. Weitzman, Fat-Tailed Uncertainty in the Economics of Catastrophic Climate Change, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, vol.5, issue.2, pp.275-92, 2011.
DOI : 10.1093/reep/rer006

M. L. Weitzman, GHG Targets as Insurance Against Catastrophic Climate Damages, Journal of Public Economic Theory, vol.1, issue.2, pp.221-265
DOI : 10.1142/S2010007810000042

M. L. Weitzman, Internalizing the Climate Externality: Can a Uniform Price Commitment Help?, Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy, vol.4, issue.2, 2015.
DOI : 10.5547/2160-5890.4.2.mwei

G. Yohe, N. Andronova, and M. Schlesinger, CLIMATE: To Hedge or Not Against an Uncertain Climate Future?, Science, vol.306, issue.5695, pp.416-433, 2004.
DOI : 10.1126/science.1101170