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Climate and nomadic migration in a nonlinear world: evidence of the Historical China

Abstract : This paper deals with climate change and nomadic migration relationships at a long term and wide geographical scale using a statistical approach in the vein of Bai and Kung (2011). More precisely, it presents a reassessment of these relationships in a nonlinear world using threshold regressions, time varying-copula and nonlinear causality tests. The large amount of historical records in China enables us to re-interpret the link between climate and historical social dynamics (Hsiang et al., 2013) through different regimes of temperatures and precipitations.
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https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-02726466
Contributor : Stéphane Goutte <>
Submitted on : Tuesday, June 2, 2020 - 2:21:47 AM
Last modification on : Saturday, October 10, 2020 - 3:35:45 AM
Long-term archiving on: : Friday, September 25, 2020 - 4:25:13 PM

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  • HAL Id : halshs-02726466, version 1

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Olivier Damette, Stéphane Goutte, Qing Pei. Climate and nomadic migration in a nonlinear world: evidence of the Historical China. 2020. ⟨halshs-02726466⟩

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