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Chapitre D'ouvrage Année : 2020

Topological analysis of a weighted human behaviour model coupled on a streets and places network in the context of urban terrorist attack

Damienne Provitolo
René Lozi
Emmanuel Tric

Résumé

This article introduces a new model of weighted human behaviour in the context of urban terrorist attacks. In this context, one of the major challenges is to improve the protection of the population. In achieve this goal, it is important to better understand and anticipate both individual and collective human behaviour, and the dynamics of the displacements associated with these behaviours. Based on the recently published Panic-Control-Reflex (PCR) model, this new Coupled Weighted PCR model takes into account the role of spatial configurations on behavioural dynamics. It incorporates, via a bottleneck effect, the narrowness and the length of the streets, and thus the pressure and counter pressure of the crowd in dangerous and safe places. The numerical evacuation simulations highlight that, depending on their size, intermediate places or public squares modulate the dynamics and the speed of flow of the crowd as it evacuates to a safe place. This model features a user-friendly graphical representation, which allows planners to accurately decide where to organize host public events in a specific territorial context.
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halshs-02487423 , version 1 (29-11-2020)

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Damienne Provitolo, René Lozi, Emmanuel Tric. Topological analysis of a weighted human behaviour model coupled on a streets and places network in the context of urban terrorist attack. Pammy Manchanda; René Pierre Lozi; Abul Hasan Siddiqi. Mathematical Modelling, -Optimization, Analytic and Numerical Solutions, Springer, pp.117-146, 2020, Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 978-981-15-0927-8. ⟨10.1007/978-981-15-0928-5_5⟩. ⟨halshs-02487423⟩
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