Political Budget Cycles: Manipulation of Leaders or Bias from Research? A Meta-Regression Analysis

Abstract : Despite a long history of research on political budget cycles, their existence and magnitude are still in question. By conducting a systematic analysis of the existing literature we intend to clarify the debate. Based on data collected from over 1,700 regressions and 58 studies, our meta-analysis suggests that leaders do manipulate fiscal tools in order to be re-elected but to an extent that is significantly exaggerated by scholars. However, we show the incumbents' strategy differ depending on which tools they leverage. Finally, we discuss in further details how authors' methodological choices and country institutions affect political budget cycles.
Document type :
Preprints, Working Papers, ...
Complete list of metadatas

Cited literature [102 references]  Display  Hide  Download

https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01238883
Contributor : Cerdi Etudes & Documents - Publications <>
Submitted on : Monday, December 7, 2015 - 11:42:06 AM
Last modification on : Thursday, January 11, 2018 - 6:17:19 AM
Long-term archiving on : Saturday, April 29, 2017 - 8:36:28 AM

File

2015.33.pdf
Files produced by the author(s)

Identifiers

  • HAL Id : halshs-01238883, version 1

Collections

Citation

Antoine Cazals, Pierre Mandon. Political Budget Cycles: Manipulation of Leaders or Bias from Research? A Meta-Regression Analysis. 2015. ⟨halshs-01238883⟩

Share

Metrics

Record views

518

Files downloads

617