A. Auberger and E. Dubois, The influence of local and national economic conditions on French legislative elections, Public Choice, vol.25, issue.6, pp.363-83, 2005.
DOI : 10.1007/s11127-005-3056-9

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00800638

H. S. Bloom and D. H. Price, Voter Response to Short-Run Economic Conditions: the Asymmetric Effect of Prosperity and Recession, American Political Science Review, vol.63, issue.04, pp.1240-54, 1975.
DOI : 10.2307/1958391

F. Carlsen, Unemployment, inflation and government popularity ??? are there partisan effects?, Electoral Studies, vol.19, issue.2-3, pp.141-50, 2000.
DOI : 10.1016/S0261-3794(99)00044-X

S. Cho and G. Young, The Asymmetric Impact of Inflation on Presidential Approval, Politics & Policy, vol.32, issue.1, pp.401-431, 1992.
DOI : 10.1111/j.1747-1346.2002.tb00128.x

R. Courbis, La conjoncture économique, la popularité politique et les perspectives électorales dans la France d'aujourd'hui, Journal de la société de statistique de Paris, pp.47-70, 1995.

A. K. Chrystal and D. A. Peel, What can economics learn from political science, and vice versa ?, American Economic Review, vol.76, issue.2, pp.62-67, 1986.

J. P. Cover, Asymmetric Effects of Positive and Negative Money-Supply Shocks, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol.107, issue.4, pp.1261-82, 1992.
DOI : 10.2307/2118388

A. Downs, An Economic Theory of Democracy, 1957.

E. Dubois, Economie politique et prevision conjoncturelle : construction d'un modèle macroéconométrique avec prise en compte des facteurs politiques, 2005.

B. S. Frey and F. Schneider, An Empirical Study of Politico-Economic Interaction in the United States, The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol.60, issue.2, pp.174-83, 1978.
DOI : 10.2307/1924970

C. A. Goodhart and R. J. Bhansali, Political Economy, Political Studies, vol.18, issue.1, pp.43-106, 1970.
DOI : 10.1111/j.1467-9248.1970.tb00659.x

W. H. Greene, Econometric Analysis, 2003.

R. E. Hall, Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence, Journal of Political Economy, vol.86, issue.6, pp.971-87, 1978.
DOI : 10.1086/260724

S. E. Haynes, Electoral and partisan cycles between US economic performance and presidential popularity, Applied Economics, vol.23, issue.1, pp.95-105, 1995.
DOI : 10.1016/0164-0704(92)90017-3

B. Headrick and D. J. Lanoue, Attention, Asymmetry, and Government Popularity in Britain, The Western Political Quarterly, vol.44, issue.1, pp.67-86, 1991.
DOI : 10.2307/448747

D. A. Hibbs and . Jr, Economics and Politics in France: Economic Performance and Mass Political Support for Presidents Pompidou and Giscard d'Estaing*, European Journal of Political Research, vol.26, issue.2, pp.133-178, 1981.
DOI : 10.1111/j.1475-6765.1981.tb00595.x

D. A. Hibbs, . D. Jr, and . Jr, On the Demand for Economic Outcomes: Macroeconomic Performance and Mass Political Support in the United States, Great Britain, and Germany, The Journal of Politics, vol.44, issue.2, pp.426-62199, 1982.
DOI : 10.2307/2130595

D. A. Hibbs and . Jr, The political economy of industrial democracies, 1987.

K. Holden and D. A. Peel, An alternative approach to explaining political popularity, Electoral Studies, vol.4, issue.3, pp.231-270, 1985.
DOI : 10.1016/0261-3794(85)90016-2

V. O. Key and . Jr, The responsible electorate, 1966.
DOI : 10.4159/harvard.9780674497764

G. Kirchgässner, Rationality, causality, and the relation between economic conditions and the popularity of parties, European Economic Review, vol.28, issue.1-2, pp.243-68, 1971.
DOI : 10.1016/0014-2921(85)90031-5

G. Kirchgässner, Economic conditions and the popularity of West German parties: before and after the 1982 government change, 1991.

. Lafay, Economics and politics -The calculus of support, pp.103-125

J. D. Lafay, Situation économétrique et comportements politiques: bilan des études empiriques et analyse du cas français, communication to annual Congress of the Association française de sciences économique, 1981.

J. D. Lafay, Political change and stability of the popularity function: The French general election of 1981, Economic conditions and electoral outcomes: the United States and the Western Europe, pp.333-5278, 1984.
DOI : 10.1007/BF00987071

J. D. Lafay and M. Servais, The impact of political scandals on popularity and votes, How France Votes, pp.189-205, 2000.

J. Lecaillon, Disparités de revenus et stratégie politique, pp.433-478, 1984.

W. Letterie and O. H. Swank, Electoral and partisan cycles between US economic performance and presidential popularity: a comment on Stephen E. Haynes, Applied Economics, vol.29, issue.12, pp.1585-92, 1997.
DOI : 10.1007/BF00182190

M. S. Lewis-beck, Economic Conditions and Executive Popularity: The French Experience, American Journal of Political Science, vol.24, issue.2, pp.306-329, 1980.
DOI : 10.2307/2110867

M. S. Lewis-beck and M. Paldam, Economic voting: an introduction, Electoral Studies, vol.19, issue.2-3, pp.113-134, 2000.
DOI : 10.1016/S0261-3794(99)00042-6

R. Michaels, Reinterpreting the role of inflation in politico-economic models he role of inflation in politico-economic Mueller Public Choice III, Public Choice, vol.48, pp.113-137, 1986.

J. Mueller, Presidential Popularity from Truman to Johnson, American Political Science Review, vol.28, issue.01, pp.18-34, 1970.
DOI : 10.1111/j.1467-9248.1960.tb01144.x

P. Nannestad and M. Paldam, The VP-function: A survey of the literature on vote and popularity functions after 25 years, Public Choice, vol.32, issue.13, pp.213-258, 1994.
DOI : 10.1007/BF01047771

R. Neck and S. Karbuz, Econometric estimations of popularity functions: a case study for Austria, Public Choice, vol.91, issue.1, pp.57-88, 1997.
DOI : 10.1023/A:1004981102662

M. Paldam, A Preliminary Survey of the Theories and Findings on Vote and Popularity Functions, European Journal of Political Research, vol.63, issue.2, pp.181-189, 1981.
DOI : 10.2307/1958391

P. Perron, The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis, Econometrica, vol.57, issue.6, pp.1361-1401, 1989.
DOI : 10.2307/1913712

P. Perron and T. J. Vogelsang, Nonstationarity and level shifts with an application to purchasing power parity, Journal of Business and Economics Statistics, vol.10, issue.3, pp.301-321, 1992.

S. Price and D. Sanders, ECONOMIC COMPETENCE, RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS AND GOVERNMENT POPULARITY IN POST-WAR BRITAIN, The Manchester School, vol.20, issue.1, pp.296-312, 1994.
DOI : 10.2307/2231927

O. H. Swank, Presidential popularity and reputation, De Economist, vol.LXXIV, issue.2, pp.168-180, 1990.
DOI : 10.1007/BF01329989

URL : http://repub.eur.nl/pub/12315/PresidentialPopularity_1990.pdf

O. H. Swank, Popularity functions based on the partisan theory, Public Choice, vol.138, issue.4, pp.339-56, 1993.
DOI : 10.1007/BF01053443

O. H. Swank, Rational voters in a partisanship model, Social Choice and Welfare, vol.12, issue.1, pp.13-27, 1995.
DOI : 10.1007/BF00182190

O. H. Swank, Partisan policies, macroeconomic performance and political support, Journal of Macroeconomics, vol.20, issue.2, pp.367-86, 1998.
DOI : 10.1016/S0164-0704(98)00063-9

F. J. Veiga and L. G. Veiga, Popularity functions, partisan effects, and support in Parliament, Economics and Politics, vol.75, issue.2, pp.101-116, 2004.
DOI : 10.1023/A:1006801219122