Learning, political attitudes and crises: Lessons from transition countries
Claudia Senik
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 743549
- IdHAL : claudia-senik
- ORCID : 0000-0001-6236-9389
- IdRef : 035112328
Résumé
This paper illustrates the sensitivity of political attitudes to the business cycle. It shows how the 2008 economic crisis has reshaped individual support for democracy and market liberalization in post-transition countries. Pro-reform attitudes have lost ground between 2006 and 2010 in Central and Eastern European countries that were hit by a negative economic shock. By contrast, they have increased in the CIS. Although on average, individual exposure to the crisis is associated with lower support to democracy and markets, it drives the demand for liberal reforms among groups of the population that were most excluded from the political-economic system in place, the youth particularly, in countries that lag behind in terms of liberalization and, where institutions are corrupt. We propose an interpretation of these evolutions in terms of learning and updating of beliefs.
Domaines
Economies et financesFormat du dépôt | Notice |
---|---|
Type de dépôt | Article dans une revue |
Titre |
en
Learning, political attitudes and crises: Lessons from transition countries
|
Résumé |
en
This paper illustrates the sensitivity of political attitudes to the business cycle. It shows how the 2008 economic crisis has reshaped individual support for democracy and market liberalization in post-transition countries. Pro-reform attitudes have lost ground between 2006 and 2010 in Central and Eastern European countries that were hit by a negative economic shock. By contrast, they have increased in the CIS. Although on average, individual exposure to the crisis is associated with lower support to democracy and markets, it drives the demand for liberal reforms among groups of the population that were most excluded from the political-economic system in place, the youth particularly, in countries that lag behind in terms of liberalization and, where institutions are corrupt. We propose an interpretation of these evolutions in terms of learning and updating of beliefs.
|
Auteur(s) |
Pauline Grosjean
1
, Frantisek Ricka
2
, Claudia Senik
3, 4, 5
1
Australian School of Business [Sydney]
( 203953 )
- Sydney NSW 2052
- Australie
2
EBRD -
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
( 153748 )
- Royaume-Uni
3
PSE -
Paris School of Economics
( 301309 )
- 48 boulevard Jourdan 75014 Paris
- France
4
PSE -
Paris-Jourdan Sciences Economiques
( 139754 )
- 48 boulevard Jourdan 75014 Paris
- France
5
UP4 -
Université Paris-Sorbonne
( 123821 )
- 1 rue Victor Cousin - 75005 Paris
- France
|
Comité de lecture |
Oui
|
Vulgarisation |
Non
|
Langue du document |
Anglais
|
Nom de la revue |
|
Audience |
Non spécifiée
|
Date de publication |
2013-05
|
Volume |
41
|
Numéro |
2
|
Page/Identifiant |
490-505
|
Mots-clés (JEL) |
|
Domaine(s) |
|
Financement |
|
Mots-clés |
en
Political preferences, Crisis, Cycles, Corruption, Learning
|
DOI | 10.1016/j.jce.2012.06.002 |
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