Morts pour la France: do demographic factors alone explain the regional disparities of the great war?

Henri Gilles (1) , Jean-Pascal Guironnet (2) , Antoine Parent (3, 4)

1 Chercheur indépendant
2 CREM - Centre de recherche en économie et management
3 LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports
4 IEP Lyon - Sciences Po Lyon - Institut d'études politiques de Lyon

This article delivers the first comprehensive analysis of the new database, 'Mémoire des hommes', which gathers more than 1 Million French soldiers officially recognized as dead for France during WW1. Crossing this source with the 1911 census, we evaluate the potential numbers of recruits by French regional department. From this, a model identifies the factors affecting the number of dead. While demographic factors are the principal determinants, adding economic, political and locally significant factors reduces the unexplained variance between regions and significantly improves the explanation of the disparity in the number of dead by region.

Mots clés: War; Demography; Count Models; Cliometrics

Domaines: Economies et finances

Henri Gilles, Jean-Pascal Guironnet, Antoine Parent. Morts pour la France: do demographic factors alone explain the regional disparities of the great war?. 2013. ⟨halshs-00860571⟩