Is Hosting the Games Enough to Win? A predictive economic model of medal wins at 2014 Winter Olympics

Wladimir Andreff (1)

1 CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne

An econometric model which has first been estimated on medal wins at Summer Olympics and has predicted 88% of medal distribution at Beijing Games 2008, is revisited for Winter Olympics. After changing some variables to take into account the winter sports specificity, the model is estimated again on all Winter Games since 1964.Then it is used to predict (forecast) the medal distribution per country at the 2014 Sochi Winter Olympics.

Mots clés: Olympics; winter sports; medal wins; econometric estimation; forecasting

Domaines: Economies et finances

Wladimir Andreff. Is Hosting the Games Enough to Win? A predictive economic model of medal wins at 2014 Winter Olympics. Papeles de Europa, 2012, 25, pp.51-75. ⟨halshs-00794057⟩