A parametric bootstrap for heavytailed distributions

Adriana Cornea (1) , Russell Davidson (2, 3, 4)

1 Imperial College London
2 GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille
3 CIREQ - Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative
4 Department of Economics [Montréal]

It is known that Efron's resampling bootstrap of the mean of random variables with common distribution in the domain of attraction of the stable laws with infinite variance is not consistent, in the sense that the limiting distribution of the bootstrap mean is not the same as the limiting distribution of the mean from the real sample. Moreover, the limiting distribution of the bootstrap mean is random and unknown. The conventional remedy for this problem, at least asymptotically, is either the m out of n bootstrap or subsampling. However, we show that both these procedures can be quite unreliable in other than very large samples. A parametric bootstrap is derived by considering the distribution of the bootstrap P value instead of that of the bootstrap statistic. The quality of inference based on the parametric bootstrap is examined in a simulation study, and is found to be satisfactory with heavy-tailed distributions unless the tail index is close to 1 and the distribution is heavily skewed.

Mots clés: bootstrap inconsistency; stable distribution; domain of attraction; infinite variance

Domaines: Economies et finances

Adriana Cornea, Russell Davidson. A parametric bootstrap for heavytailed distributions. 2009. ⟨halshs-00443564⟩