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Using ex post data to estimate the hurdle rate of abatement investments - an application to sulfur emissions from the Swedish pulp and paper industry and energy sector
Åsa Löfgren 1, Katrin Millock 2, 3, Céline Nauges 4, 5
(2008-03)

We propose a method for estimating hurdle rates for firms' investments in pollution abatement technology, using ex post data. The method is based on a structural option value model where the future price of polluting fuel is the major source of uncertainty facing the firm. The econometric procedure is illustrated using a panel of firms from the Swedish pulp and paper industry, and the energy and heating sector from 2000 to 2003. The results indicate a hurdle rate of investment of 2.9 in the pulp and paper industry and 3.4 in the energy and heating sector.
1 :  Göteborg University
Department of Economics
2 :  Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne (CES)
CNRS : UMR8174 – Université Paris I - Panthéon Sorbonne
3 :  Ecole d'Économie de Paris - Paris School of Economics (EEP-PSE)
Ecole d'Économie de Paris
4 :  LERNA-INRA
Toulouse School of Economics
5 :  INRA (LERNA)
INRA – Université des Sciences Sociales - Toulouse I
EUREQua
Humanities and Social Sciences/Economy and finances

Humanities and Social Sciences/Environmental studies
Option value – fuel price uncertainty – investment decision – pollution abatement – panel data – pulp and paper industry – energy and heating sector.
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