Structural and dynamic complexities of risk and catastrophe systems : an approach by system dynamics modelling

Damienne Provitolo (1)

1 ThéMA - Théoriser et modéliser pour aménager (UMR 6049)

Risk and catastrophe are complex systems. Within the
scope of this paper, we focus our attention on structural
and dynamic complexities of catastrophes and on the
possibility of modelling and simulating its double
complexity with a formal and methodological framework:
the General Systems Theory and System Dynamics
modelling. We then briefly propose a model of urban
catastrophe related to a flood. We then propose some ways
of research allowing exceeding the limits related to the
modelling.

Mots clés: Dynamic modelling; General Systems Theory; Risk<br />analysis

Domaines: Géographie

Damienne Provitolo. Structural and dynamic complexities of risk and catastrophe systems : an approach by system dynamics modelling. "The European Simulation and Modelling conference", 2006, Toulouse, France. pp. 430-434. ⟨halshs-00193869⟩